Aggies vs Gators Prediction and Picks for September 14 2024 (2024)

The Texas A&M Aggies (1-1, 0-2 ATS, 1-1 O/U) meet the Florida Gators (1-1, 0-2 ATS, 1-1 O/U) in an SEC clash on Saturday afternoon. The Aggies are 1-1 after a win against McNeese State last week. The Gators rebounded from a defeat in the opener with an easy win against Samford. The Gators recorded a 41-24 win in the previous meeting in the 2022 season.

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Texas A&M Rebounds with Easy Win

The Texas A&M Aggies are on the road for the first time this season. Texas A&M had a daunting task in the opener. They were dealt a 23-13 home loss against a ranked Notre Dame squad. They were marked 2.5-point favorites in the defeat. Next, the Aggies issued a dominating 52-10 win against McNeese State but could not cover the mammoth 48-point spread. The Aggies were voted to finish ninth in the SEC preseason poll.

Connor Weigman is at QB. The sophom*ore played a decent amount last season and posted great numbers, collecting 979 passing yards and an 8:2 TD-to-INT ratio. Weigman struggled in the opener against Notre Dame and has 225 passing yards and a 2:2 TD to INT ratio the young season.

Le’Veon Moss is relied on. The junior RB was second on the team rushing last season and is now the #1 RB. The junior collected 484 rushing yards last year and has 154 yards after two performances. Cyrus Allen is enjoying a productive start to the year. The junior WR transferred from Louisiana Tech where he brought in 778 yards in 2023. He has netted 100 yards. The Aggies offense only managed 246 total yards against Notre Dame and posted 529 yards last week.

The Aggies' defense is a strength. They brought in Nic Scourton who led the Big Ten in sacks last year. The Aggies squandered 356 total yards against Notre Dame but only 279 yards last week. They ranked 40th against the pass and 13th against the run in 2023. After two clashes, they stand 18th in pass defense and 105th in rush defense.

Texas A&M has averaged 32.5 points in two games, marking them 56th. They have conceded a total of 33 points, placing them 48th.

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Florida Beats Samford, Mertz Does Not Play

The Florida Gators are at home for the third straight game to begin the season. They had a rivalry clash in the season opener, losing by a 41-17 score against a ranked Miami squad in a bout that had the Gators as two-point dogs. Florida rebounded with a 45-7 win against Samford last week in a clash that had the Gators favored by 38 points. The Gators were selected to finish 12th in the SEC preseason poll.

QB Graham Mertz struggled against a solid defense in the opener, completing 55% of his passes for 91 yards before he was injured with a concussion. The senior QB did not play in the victory last week and will start this game. DJ Lagway, who collected 456 passing yards last week, will also see playing time. Lagway is a five-star recruit.

Montrell Johnson Jr. is expected to have a big season. The senior WR generated 817 yards in 2023 and has accumulated 173 rushing yards after two clashes. Eugene Wilson III had a great freshman season that resulted in 538 rushing yards. The sophom*ore WR has brought in 191 yards in two games.

The Gators defense was a huge weakness last season and they have a new defensive coordinator as a result. They surrendered 529 total yards against Miami Florida in the opener and only 205 yards against a weak offense yards last week. The Gators ranked 84th against the pass last year and 88th in rush defense in 2023. They are 106th against the pass and 42nd against the run after two clashes.

Florida has posted an average of 31 points in two games, rating them 65th. They have held opponents to an average of 24 points, positioning them 80th.

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Best Bets for Texas A&M vs. Florida

Full-Game Side Bet

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The Texas A&M Aggies lost 23-13 at home against Notre Dame in the opener. This marks their first true road game and it will be an intimidating atmosphere at the Swamp. The Aggies offense is a bit of a question mark. Aggies QB Weigman only connected on 40% of his passes against Notre Dame. The Gators' defense is going to be improved this season. They have a new defensive coordinator and brought in key transfers.

Furthermore, Florida has a proven offense led by Graham Mertz who played at Wisconsin before transferring to Florida last season. The Aggies' pass defense can be solved. They ranked 40th in pass defense last year. Also, the Aggies gave up 198 rushing yards against Notre Dame in the opener and are pegged 105th in rush defense after two games. This is key when considering the Gators have a potent RB in Montrell Johnson Jr. who has collected 173 rushing yards in two games this season.

Prediction: Florida Gators +4.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect a barrage of scoring. Texas A&M will contribute against a Gators defense that was one of the worst of any power conference squads last year. They will run more than pass and the Gators were pegged 88th in rush defense last year and gave up 144 rushing yards against Miami FL in the opener.

In addition, Florida will rely on the offense to stay in games, especially on the ground. They managed 139 rushing yards against the Hurricanes and posted 166 rushing yards last week. This is a potent offense that averaged 28 points at home last season. The over is a convincing 8-2 in the Gators’ previous ten games.

Prediction: Over 46.5

Author Profile

Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. He enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and being an expert sports bettor. Prior to bringing his talents here to Winners and Whiners, Adam graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance. You would do yourself a huge favor by following Adam on a daily basis.

Aggies vs Gators Prediction and Picks for September 14 2024 (2024)
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